Page 176 - Çevre Şehir İklim İngilizce - Sayı 1
P. 176

Estimation of Co  Emission
                                                 2

            through the use of the estimated air passenger traffic figures, jet fuel demand
            and  related  CO   emission  were  calculated.  For  the  calculation  of  jet  fuel
                           2
            demand, the following equation was utilized.
               YD  = RPK  * FD    ( 1)
                 Y      Y    Y
               The abbreviations above stand for the following:
               YD  Yearly Fuel Demand (ton/year)
               RPK  Revenue Passenger Kilometers (million passengers /kilometers)
               FD  Fuel Density (ton/million RPK)
               Y    Year
               After the calculation of fuel demand, CO  emission based on fuel consumption
                                                 2
            was calculated using Tier 1 method presented by Intergovernmental Panel on
            Climate Change (IPCC). Tiet 1 method can be seen in Equation (2) below.

               ECO  = YD  * EF    (2)
                   2Y    y
               The abbreviations above stand for the following:
               ECO   : Yearly CO2 Emission (ton CO2/yıl)
                   2
               EF    : CO  Emission Factor (ton CO2/ton)
                        2
               The data covering 2005-2017, used for the creation of the estimation model,
            is given in Table 1
                              Table 1: Data used in formation of the model


             Year      RPK, million    GDP, fixed 2010   Population,   Flights Per
                      passengers/km       billion $       million      person

                       (ICAO, 2001)   (World Bank, 2019)  (World Bank,   (World Bank,
                                                          2019)         2019)
            2005          23.082            658            67,90        0,0021
            2006          24.895            705            68,76        0,0026
            2007          32.230            740            69,60        0,0028
            2008          46.643            747            70,44        0,0031
            2009          51.357            712            71,34        0,0038
            2010          61.931            772            72,33        0,0051
            2011          77.495            858            73,41        0,0057
            2012          91.520            899            74,57        0,0064
            2013         111.450            975            75,79        0,0075





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