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Zerrin Toprak Karaman - Özlem Çakır - Meriç Aziz Berge


                     workshop as a whole was not included in this paper as the project
                     has not been concluded, while answers to scientific questions will
                     be published at the end of the project.


               1. The Importance of Climate Events

               There are certain studies on past events at a global scale. According to
            Global  Climate  Risk  Index,  which  questions  and  interprets  the  amount  of
            damage and losses imposed on countries by extreme climate events (such
            as storms, floods and heat waves), in the last 20 years (1998-2017) over 11,500
            extreme climate events have taken place. Such climate events that can be
            categorized as disasters caused the deaths of 526,000 people and (based on
            the  purchasing  power  parities)  an  economic  loss  of  3.47  trillion  US  dollars
            (Global  Climate  Risk  Index,  2019).  Recent  studies  state  that  the  estimated
            increase  in  global  surface  temperatures  results  largely  from  overheating
            since the 2003–2012 period. Even in the case of a really low gas emission
            scenario, the global warming is estimated to reach 1.5°C in the short term, or
            the possibility of exceeding this value seems to be over 50%. The countries
            affected most from these negative effects are colonial countries, which is also
            mentioned in the reports (IPCC, 2022).
               According to the data created by The Ministry of Environment, Urbanization
            and  Climate  Change,  General  Directorate  of  Meteorology  in  the  2000s,
            topics such as strong winds, storms, and hurricanes gained importance with
            the triggering effect of climate change and became an area that needs to be
            examined from multiple perspectives. The year 2019 witnessed the emergence
            of meteorological disasters, heavy precipitation/flood (38%), storms (29%), hails
            (18%), lightning (7%) affecting different parts of Türkiye (https://www.mgm.gov.
            tr/FILES/ iklim/yillikiklim/2019-iklim-raporu.pdf).
               Similarly, in the foreword of the 2021 Report, our Ministry puts emphasis
            on  the  word,  “storms”  in  the  expression:  “It  includes  analyses  of  extreme
            weather and climate conditions around Türkiye, such as storms, hail, droughts,
            avalanches, heavy precipitation and floods.” The year 2021 witnessed 1024
            extreme  weather  conditions.  The  extreme  weather  conditions  recorded  as
            of  2021  consisted  of  storms/hurricanes  (40%),  heavy  precipitation/floods
            (28%),  hail  (13%),  and  heavy  snow  (7%).  (https://mgm.gov.  tr/FILES/iklim/
            yillikiklim/2021-iklim-raporu.pdf: 5). As seen in these cases, the meteorological
            issues in Türkiye started to gain more importance than tectonic issues. However,
            they  have  not  gained  widespread  public  awareness  yet.  According  to  the
            comprehensive report by Grand National Assembly of Türkiye (GNAT), Global
            Climate Change Research Commission in 2021, “The lack of the necessary



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