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Zehra Kavakli Karataş


                3. The Desertification Model and Vulnerability Map of Türkiye

                Türkiye is a country with arid, semi-arid and sub-humid areas as defined in
              the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification. Türkiye is under
              the  threat  of  desertification  and  drought  due  to  its  climate  characteristics
              and topographical structure. For these reasons, Türkiye is one of the critical
              countries in terms of desertification (Development of the Basin Monitoring
              and Evaluation System (HIDS) Project, Türkiye Desertification Report, 2015).
                In  order  to  identify  the  areas  vulnerable  to  desertification  in  Türkiye,
              desertification  criteria  and  indicators  are  firstly  required  to  be  determined
              accurately. In this way, it will be possible to achieve more accurate and
              effective  outcomes  in  efforts  to  combat  desertification.  For  this  purpose,
              the  desertification  criteria  and  indicators  specific  to  Türkiye  have  been
              determined,  and  a  desertification  model  has  been  developed  in  line  with
              these  data,  and  the  Desertification  Vulnerability  Map  of  Türkiye  has  been
              produced. Many studies on desertification have been conducted in Türkiye
              and various approaches have been put forward by using different methods in
              these studies (HIDS-Türkiye Desertification Report, 2015).
                The Desertification Model and Vulnerability Map of Türkiye were developed in
              2015 in cooperation with the General Directorate of Combating Desertification
              and Erosion and TUBITAK- BILGEM in order to indicate the vulnerability of Türkiye
              to desertification. The aim here was to determine the desertification criteria and
              indicators specific to Türkiye and to present the desertification model specific to
              it. During the development of the Desertification Model of Türkiye, 52 models,
              national legislation and international conventions were examined and analysed
              in great detail (HIDS-Türkiye Desertification Report, 2015).
                The weighted layers produced by the model are mapped using geographic
              information systems (Türkeş et al., 2019). The point data used in this study
              were  generated  in  raster  format  with  a  resolution  of  90x90  m  through
              geostatistical method. Similarly, 90x90 m conversion to raster data format was
              ensured according to the attribute information to be used in the data model
              presented in the polygon data type (Türkeş et al., 2020).
                The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method was used for creating this
              model,  as  determined  by  the  opinion  of  experts  on  the  subject  identified
              before. Seven criteria, 48 indicators and 37 sub-indicators suitable for Türkiye
              were identified and these criteria were determined, by their priority, as Climate,
              Water,  Soil,  Land  Cover  and  Land  Use,  Topography  and  Geomorphology,
              Socio-economy and Management (Table 1). While applying the AHP method,
              inconsistencies may arise due to human influence. In this context, Saaty (1980)
              concluded  that  if  the  consistency  ratio  value  is  equal  to  or  less  than  10%,



              106  Journal of Environment, Urban and Climate
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