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Development of Desertification Maps and Vulnerability Model, Türkiye


 Table 2: Desertification Index Values and Their Definition (ÇEM 2017).
                     THE DESERTIFICATION VULNERABILITY MAP OF TÜRKİYE
 Vulnerability Class  Class  Index Values  Definition


 1  1.0-1.27  Low

 Low  2  1.28-1.34  Moderate


 3  1.35-1.40  High

 4  1.41-1.45  Low

 Moderate  5  1.46-1.48  Moderate


 6  1.49-1.54  High


 7  1.55-1.60  Low

 High  8  1.61-1.67  Moderate
                         Figure 1. The Desertification Model and Vulnerability
 9  1.68-2.00  High              Map of Türkiye (NSAPCD, 2019)
               Within  the  scope  of  the  Türkiye  Desertification  Model  Verification  and
            Calibration Project, the Desertification Model and Vulnerability Map of Türkiye
 As a result of these analyses and studies, the Desertification Model and   were finalised through the field studies carried out between 2016-2019. Basin-
 Vulnerability Map of Türkiye were created. Among the criteria and indicators   based field studies were conducted to verify and calibrate the desertification
 identified on the map, climate, soil, topography and land cover data were used   model  of  Türkiye.  In  these  studies,  the  verification  was  conducted  by
 and in this respect, the map has a biogeophysical feature. It was planned that   comparing the desertification risk value of the land with the risk value of the
 the water, socioeconomic and management criteria and indicators identified   model by project consultants and experts together with field observations.
 within the scope of this study and affecting desertification would be reflected   Moreover, the internal consistency of the model was examined on a pixel-by-
 later in the model within the framework of the AHP designed (ÇEM, 2017).  pixel basis using the ‘Sequential Normal Simulation’ (ANB) technique, and
 According  to  the  map,  the  highly  vulnerable  areas  in  Türkiye  are  Konya   pixels that did not have consistency were identified as possible observation
 Basin and Ankara and Eskişehir regions in Central Anatolia Region; Şanlıurfa,   points. Validation and calibration studies were carried out at 1584 observation
 Mardin  and  Diyarbakır  regions  close  to  the  Syrian  border  in  Southeastern   points in 9 pilot basins. In addition, the linear regression number (r = 0.79) of
 Anatolia Region, as well as a small area in Malatya region, Iğdır and Aralık and   the model risks against observed risks was found to be at an acceptable level
 Doğubayazıt  regions,  and  these  areas  are  considered  as  priority  areas  in   (ÇEM, 2019, ÇEM, 2017).
 combating desertification. This model and map show that 18% of the lands of   In this context, pilot field studies were performed in Aksaray and Mersin
 Türkiye  are  in  the  weak,  50.9%  moderate  and  22.5%  high  desertification   provinces in 2016, Çorum- Amasya-Samsun and Şanlıurfa-Adıyaman provinces
 vulnerability class (Figure 1) (ÇEM, 2019).
            in 2017, Bursa- Balıkesir-Çanakkale-Edirne-Tekirdağ-Kırklareli and Iğdır-Kars-
            Erzurum-Ardahan- Artvin provinces in 2018 and Upper Sakarya Basin in 2019.





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