Page 148 - Çevre Şehir İklim İngilizce - Sayı 4

SPATIAL ESTIMATES ON THE FUTURE OF

CLIMATE FROM AN URBAN PLANNING
PERSPECTIVE: THE CASE OF ANTALYA BASIN

Öznur IŞINKARALAR

ABSTRACT
Climate change is one of the critical problems of today’s world and is a
long-term process that threatens life. According to the common view, urban
activities are held responsible for the negative effects experienced due to
the greenhouse gases produced by fossil fuels used in industrial production,
transportation, and heating. But at the same time, urban regions are the
leading force for climate change adaptation and resilience. This research aims
to predict climate change and to produce strategies at the basin scale by
accepting planning against possible threats as a tool. In this direction, first
of all, the effects of temperature, precipitation, and wind parameters on
climate classes were estimated as spatiotemporal. Within the framework of
the moderate (SSP 245) and pessimistic (SSP 585) scenarios defined in the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports, in the Antalya
basin, which is one of the most vulnerable regions in terms of climate change,
using the Lang, Emberger and De Martonne climate indices, it is estimated
at twenty-year intervals until the year 2100. maps are spatially produced.
According to the estimations, it is predicted that arid and semi-arid areas that
do not exist today within the borders of the basin will be formed and the
desert class will begin to form.

Keywords: Climate Change, Urbanism, Urban Planning, Watershed
Management

Year 2 / Issue 4 / July 2023 137