Page 143 - Çevre Şehir ve İklim Dergisi - Sayı 4

SPATIAL ESTIMATES ON THE FUTURE OF
CLIMATE FROM AN URBAN PLANNING

PERSPECTIVE: THE CASE OF ANTALYA BASIN

Öznur IŞINKARALAR

ABSTRACT
Climate change is one of the critical problems of today’s world and is a long-term process
that threatens life. According to the common view, urban activities are held responsible for
the negative effects experienced due to the greenhouse gases produced by fossil fuels used in
industrial production, transportation, and heating. But at the same time, urban regions are the
leading force for climate change adaptation and resilience. This research aims to predict climate
change and to produce strategies at the basin scale by accepting planning against possible
threats as a tool. In this direction, first of all, the effects of temperature, precipitation, and wind
parameters on climate classes were estimated as spatiotemporal. Within the framework of the
moderate (SSP 245) and pessimistic (SSP 585) scenarios defined in the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) reports, in the Antalya basin, which is one of the most vulnerable
regions in terms of climate change, using the Lang, Emberger and De Martonne climate
indices, it is estimated at twenty-year intervals until the year 2100. maps are spatially produced.
According to the estimations, it is predicted that arid and semi-arid areas that do not exist today
within the borders of the basin will be formed and the desert class will begin to form.
Keywords: Climate Change, Urbanism, Urban Planning, Watershed Management

Dr., Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Mühendislik ve Mimarlık Fakültesi
Mail: obulan@kastamonu.edu.tr
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9774-5137

Makale Atıf Bilgisi: Işınkaralar, Ö. (2023). “Kent Planlama Perspektifinden İklimin
Geleceğine İlişkin Mekânsal Öngörüler: Antalya Havzası Örneği”.
Çevre, Şehir ve İklim Dergisi. Yıl: 2. Sayı: 4. ss. (128-145)
Makale Türü: Araştırma
Geliş Tarihi: 20.03.2023
Kabul Tarihi: 02.06.2023
Yayın Tarihi: 31.07.2023
Yayın Sezonu: Temmuz 2023

128 Çevre, Şehir ve İklim Dergisi Çevre, Şehir ve İklim Dergisi
Deprem ve Kentsel Dönüşüm | Temmuz 2023 | Sayı: 4